In the year 2010 Concerned About Inflation Business

After I have posted previous articles on the Register BLOG SEARCH ENGINE TO 50 and register is also a social network to 250 following ... ...! This time I will discuss about the potential increase in inflation ..JAKARTA. employers concerned about the potential increase in inflation in addition to disturbing ini.Di purchasing power, high inflation will also make banks more reluctant to lower interest rates.


"The increase in inflation in 2010 was quite a threat to the business world," said Chairman of Indonesian Young Entrepreneurs Association (Hipmi) Erwin Aksa in Jakarta yesterday.


Nevertheless, the business community remains optimistic that economic conditions this year better than before. This year should be a momentum to push economic growth higher. In this case, the government should stimulate further growth in the real sector. To anticipate the threat of inflation, the business community will continue to do business with good planning and maintaining efficiency in order to reduce costs.

"Efficiency is also in order to improve competitiveness," said Erwin. Beyond that, the business community hope the government can make good policy for the public's purchasing power continues to grow and accelerate infrastructure development. Chief Economist Danareksa Research Institute Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa estimates, this year the inflation rate close to 6% level. This figure is well above the realization in 2009 that annual inflation reached 2.78% only. Inflation rate will return to the long-term trend, which is close to 6%. The assumption of inflation in the 2010 Budget is set 5%. "But it (6%) is not a bad number because it was single digits," he said.

With that level, Bank Indonesia (BI) does not need to raise its benchmark interest rate (BI Rate). Purbaya hoping to interest rates continued to fall forward to provide additional impetus to the national economy this year. According to him, quite a lot of positive sentiment for the economy this year. In addition to a better global economy, inflation is under control, so that people's purchasing power no longer disturb. added stimulus policies that impact will be stronger this year.

Danareksa believe 6% economic growth this year is not impossible because there is this sentiment. In line with this, the target of 5.5% economic growth in the Budget Revenue and Expenditure (Budget) in 2010 could be revised. "I expect to be revised upwards," he added. However, he warned, growth should be qualified. In this infrastructure programs should be run optimally to encourage employment. Chief Economist PT BNI Tbk Prasentiantono Tony said, the rate of inflation like the 2009 can not be repeated this year.

For different conditions this year with 2009.Tahun ago, a low inflation rate since the global crisis in an atmosphere of economic actors prefer to hold back. "Consumers shopping carefully," he said. Thus, the producer was afraid to raise prices to sell merchandise. In addition, commodity prices also dropped compared to 2008 and the exchange rate relatively stable so that the low inflation rate. Instead, this year the economy is more excited, so the demand for oil is rising and the price finally caught up.

"Now only the price of oil has gone through $ 80 barrel," said Tony. Previously Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) announced the inflation rate during 2009 reached 2.78% and is the lowest position in 10 years terakhir.Pada December 2009 inflation rate recorded 0.33%. BPS head Rusman Heriawan said the 2009 inflation rate below 3% because of the economic recovery in the country.

In addition, the world economic crisis and turmoil in the United States dollar (U.S.) helped contribute to low inflation. "External factor supporting the reduction in demand, so prices are not volatile," he explained. Rusman also mentioned, inflation below 3% has been projected BPS since January last year. "It's also because in the eyes of the consumer there is an obsession of all self-sufficient, eg food self-sufficiency, so that consumer spending did not go wild," he said.

About 0.33% inflation in December is due to the increase in prices of certain goods groups, such as foodstuffs, beverages, and tobacco by 0.93%. Then the group housing, water, electricity, gas, and fuel by 0.28% , clothing by 0.95% and 0.20% health groups.